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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no coalition by October 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Oct 21, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 625 |
| $0.200 |
| $125 |
| Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.090 | $40 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams drop out?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 654.95 | $0.147 | $96 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 12.29K | $0.014 | $173.71 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 464 | $0.175 | $81 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | sell | 91.42 | $0.978 | $89.41 | Aug 7, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 444.44 | $0.045 | $20 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 31.43 | $0.350 | $11 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 60 | $0.350 | $21 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 337.57 | $0.091 | $30.72 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 112.52 | $0.187 | $21.04 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 63.83 | $0.047 | $3 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.012 | $4 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.009 | $3 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 12.29K | $0.009 | $115 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 450.09 | $0.249 | $112 | Jun 26, 2025 |