Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 256 | $0.259 | $189.82 | +$123.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.580 | $10.44 | Jun 16, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 704 |
| $0.742 |
| $181.98 |
| -$340.38 |
 Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? | No | 88 | $0.196 | $37.18 | +$19.93 |
 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.740 | $14.22 | +$3.12 |
 Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 181 | $0.240 | $13.58 | -$29.87 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 19 | $0.640 | $12.07 | -$0.1 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 27 | $0.220 | $9.18 | +$3.24 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 120 | $0.440 | $6.9 | -$45.9 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.170 | $1.95 | -$3.15 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.670 |
| $3.35 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | sell | 313 | $0.680 | $212.84 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | sell | 491 | $0.670 | $328.97 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 571 | $0.596 | $340.32 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 432 | $0.220 | $95.04 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 242 | $0.220 | $53.24 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Vanta IPO before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.880 | $35.2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 625 | $0.570 | $356.25 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 737 | $0.740 | $545.38 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 427 | $0.730 | $311.71 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No | sell | 251 | $0.560 | $140.56 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No | buy | 256 | $0.790 | $202.24 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 975 | $0.840 | $819 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 625 | $0.600 | $375 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.730 | $849.72 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?No | sell | 618 | $0.750 | $463.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?No | sell | 658 | $0.750 | $493.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 846 | $0.640 | $541.44 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Deel IPO before 2027?No | sell | 322 | $0.820 | $264.04 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Deel IPO before 2027?No | sell | 28 | $0.820 | $22.96 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Deel IPO before 2027?No | sell | 68 | $0.820 | $55.76 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | sell | 183 | $0.760 | $139.08 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | sell | 202 | $0.760 | $153.52 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | sell | 207 | $0.760 | $157.32 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | sell | 134 | $0.760 | $101.84 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?No | sell | 32 | $0.620 | $19.84 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US bank failure by June 30?No | sell | 384 | $0.720 | $276.48 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US bank failure by June 30?No | sell | 623 | $0.720 | $448.56 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US bank failure by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.720 | $23.76 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Deel IPO before 2027?No | buy | 418 | $0.810 | $338.58 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | buy | 795 | $0.760 | $604.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.640 | $20.48 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?No | sell | 86 | $0.460 | $39.56 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?No | sell | 422 | $0.460 | $194.12 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?No | sell | 618 | $0.460 | $284.28 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?No | sell | 172 | $0.460 | $79.12 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No | sell | 856 | $0.880 | $753.28 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No | sell | 44 | $0.870 | $38.28 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?No | buy | 257 | $0.890 | $228.73 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 256 | $0.259 | $66.3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| US bank failure by June 30?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.740 | $781.44 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins | buy | 347 | $0.490 | $170.03 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No | buy | 900 | $0.860 | $774 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.660 | $856.68 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?No | sell | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?No | sell | 44 | $0.910 | $40.04 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?No | sell | 49 | $0.930 | $45.57 | Apr 11, 2026 |