Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 18.48 | $0.920 | $17.8 | +$0.8 |
 Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 15?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 13.47 |
| $0.965 |
| $13.46 |
| +$0.46 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 9.31 | $0.967 | $9.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 9.25 | $0.973 | $9.25 | +$0.25 |
| buy |
| 5.49 |
| $0.910 |
| $5 |
| May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 9.31 | $0.967 | $9 | May 14, 2026 |
 Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.983 | $6 | May 14, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.990 | $11 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.968 | $9 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 52.04 | $0.987 | $51.36 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 14?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 14?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 14.38 | $0.995 | $14.31 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 9.25 | $0.973 | $9 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 13.47 | $0.965 | $13 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY | buy | 16.7 | $0.898 | $15 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 14.39 | $0.973 | $14 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 52.04 | $0.994 | $51.73 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.991 | $14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 18.48 | $0.920 | $17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.976 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in December?No | buy | 11.39 | $0.973 | $11.08 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0% in December?No | buy | 17.1 | $0.994 | $17 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.07 | $0.994 | $11 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.19 | $0.989 | $17 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 9.13 | $0.986 | $9 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 12.89 | $0.931 | $12 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?No | buy | 38.57 | $0.999 | $38.53 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?No | buy | 20.45 | $0.978 | $20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 12?Down | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?No | buy | 56.97 | $0.993 | $56.55 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 31.03 | $0.999 | $31 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.950 | $8 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.989 | $8 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.118 | $9.44 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved before August?No | buy | 29.03 | $0.999 | $29 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 43.04 | $0.999 | $43 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?No | buy | 80.39 | $0.999 | $80.31 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 44.5% and 44.9% on May 23?No | buy | 1.39K | $0.997 | $1.38K | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 12, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | May 12, 2025 |