Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.640 | $18.9 | +$6.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 290.63 | $0.320 | $93 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.710 |
| $17.9 |
| +$3.7 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 13.33 | $0.750 | $12.47 | +$2.47 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 10 | $0.600 | $8.25 | +$2.25 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.14 | $0.700 | $6.54 | +$1.54 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 39.53 | $0.253 | $5.75 | -$4.25 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.240 | $5.75 | -$6.25 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes| sell |
| 27.39 |
| $0.217 |
| $5.94 |
| Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 13.19 | $0.379 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.58 | $0.795 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 35.21 | $0.710 | $25 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 11.89 | $0.841 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 39.53 | $0.253 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.98 | $0.954 | $13.34 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.99 | $0.715 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | buy | 45.46 | $0.440 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.49 | $0.390 | $0.97 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown | sell | 12.65 | $0.990 | $12.52 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 12.47 | $0.390 | $4.86 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 20.18 | $0.480 | $9.69 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 4.28 | $0.230 | $0.98 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | sell | 22.9 | $0.730 | $16.72 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 22.56 | $0.430 | $9.7 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | sell | 2.38 | $0.780 | $1.86 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.43 | $0.400 | $0.97 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | sell | 2.05 | $0.780 | $1.6 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.02 | $0.480 | $0.97 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | sell | 3.18 | $0.650 | $2.07 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 3.15 | $0.310 | $0.98 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp | sell | 7.16 | $0.890 | $6.37 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.2 | $0.190 | $0.99 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | sell | 1.67 | $0.930 | $1.55 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.65 | $0.590 | $0.97 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 14.26 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.98 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.760 | $11.4 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 6.18 | $0.760 | $4.7 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.09 | $0.230 | $17.96 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No | buy | 100 | $0.257 | $25.7 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.9 | $0.220 | $0.2 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Feb 6, 2026 |