Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 163.9 | $0.410 | $67.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 163.9 |
| $0.479 |
| $78.58 |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.993 | $19.86 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $112K on August 29?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party before October?No | sell | 30 | $0.962 | $28.87 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by July 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Yoon in jail before August?No | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon register the America Party before October?No | buy | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 200 | $0.007 | $1.4 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?No | sell | 80 | $0.263 | $21.07 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?No | buy | 80 | $0.265 | $21.19 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?No | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.100 | $2.2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on July 1?No | buy | 106.9 | $0.028 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Trump approval >45% on July 1?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.380 | $1.98 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 2025 June hottest on record?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.220 | $8.8 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.360 | $10.8 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.140 | $9.8 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.034 | $2.04 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.180 | $14.4 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 13?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.055 | $5.5 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 13?No | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $3.99 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.500 | $7.5 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?No | buy | 40 | $0.320 | $12.8 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?No | sell | 48.21 | $0.968 | $46.67 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | sell | 428.56 | $0.032 | $13.64 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 53 | $0.040 | $2.12 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 176.23 | $0.057 | $10 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?No | buy | 48.21 | $0.840 | $40.5 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 199.33 | $0.150 | $29.9 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?No | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?No | sell | 336.36 | $0.120 | $40.36 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?No | buy | 136.36 | $0.220 | $30 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | Nov 24, 2024 |