Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 0.4 | $0.770 | $0.36 | +$0.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.610 | $121.76 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 0.41 |
| $0.820 |
| $0.35 |
| +$0.02 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.41 | $0.120 | $0.34 | +$0.3 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | No | 0.34 | $0.830 | $0.33 | +$0.05 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 0.39 | $0.690 | $0.27 | +$0 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.27 | $0.700 | $0.26 | +$0.07 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.26 | $0.710 | $0.24 | +$0.06 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.682 | $0.24 | -$0.04 |
 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 0.4 | $0.630 | $0.23 | -$0.02 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 0.4 | $0.620 | $0.17 | -$0.08 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.22 | $0.530 | $0.12 | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.28 | $0.338 | $0.11 | +$0.02 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.290 | $0.11 | -$0.01 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.270 | $0.04 | -$0.07 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.150 | $0.03 | -$0.03 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.21 | $0.340 | $0.01 | -$0.06 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.16 | $0.140 | $0 | -$0.02 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.12 | $0.420 | $0 | -$0.05 |
| sell |
| 199.99 |
| $0.810 |
| $161.99 |
| 3d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 189.62 | $0.600 | $113.77 | 4d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.660 | $6.59 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.334 | $6.67 | 8d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.510 | $101.8 | 9d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?No | sell | 169.43 | $0.800 | $135.54 | 10d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?No | sell | 30.23 | $0.820 | $24.79 | 10d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.140 | $27.94 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.260 | $51.9 | 13d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.92 | $0.520 | $9.84 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 181.04 | $0.530 | $95.95 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.760 | $151.7 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.280 | $55.89 | 17d ago |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.610 | $121.76 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.780 | $155.69 | 24d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.250 | $49.9 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 199.59 | $0.120 | $23.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 106.98 | $0.530 | $56.7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?No | sell | 88.47 | $0.130 | $11.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?No | sell | 13.39 | $0.160 | $2.14 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No | sell | 101.83 | $0.240 | $24.44 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?No | sell | 41.08 | $0.700 | $28.76 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No | sell | 21.84 | $0.140 | $3.06 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No | sell | 80.15 | $0.160 | $12.82 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.75 | $0.560 | $1.54 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 100.31 | $0.470 | $47.15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 40.15 | $0.440 | $17.67 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.460 | $13.8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 76.51 | $0.130 | $9.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.37 | $0.170 | $4.31 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.94 | $0.410 | $11.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.430 | $7.31 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No | sell | 30.76 | $0.520 | $16 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.83 | $0.270 | $27.49 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 51.93 | $0.780 | $40.51 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.96 | $0.250 | $2.24 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 28.91 | $0.420 | $12.14 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 73.07 | $0.430 | $31.42 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.83 | $0.460 | $46.84 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.83 | $0.470 | $47.86 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 79.23 | $0.300 | $23.77 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 22.85 | $0.350 | $8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.170 | $6.97 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 101.83 | $0.430 | $43.79 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 101.83 | $0.180 | $18.33 | Jun 23, 2026 |