Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.888 | $1.85K | +$73 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes | sell | 153.87 | $0.260 | $40.01 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.14K |
| $0.928 |
| $1.05K |
| -$14.76 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.890 | $963 | +$73 |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 838.41 | $0.960 | $833.8 | +$28.93 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | No | 1K | $0.845 | $825 | -$20 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 847.06 | $0.900 | $813.6 | +$51.25 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 807.89 | $0.579 | $387.79 | -$79.66 |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.613 | $328.14 | -$528.12 |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 1.34K | $0.341 | $220.4 | -$235.3 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 416.36 | $0.450 | $185.28 | -$2.08 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 203.19 | $0.755 | $177.79 | +$24.37 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.760 | $59.5 | -$16.5 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 104.53 | $0.606 | $29.79 | -$33.52 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison? | Yes | 106.22 | $0.140 | $5.84 | -$9.03 |
 Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 82 | $0.120 | $4.63 | -$5.21 |
| sell |
| 94 |
| $0.318 |
| $29.88 |
| 2d ago |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 302.29 | $0.426 | $128.73 | 2d ago |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.370 | $4.81 | 2d ago |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.389 | $124.6 | 2d ago |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 450.5 | $0.327 | $147.26 | 2d ago |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.284 | $19.9 | 2d ago |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No | buy | 838.41 | $0.960 | $804.87 | 2d ago |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.663 | $948.66 | 3d ago |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.850 | $5.1 | 3d ago |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.840 | $420 | 3d ago |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | buy | 416.36 | $0.450 | $187.36 | 3d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | 3d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.6 | $0.620 | $33.85 | 3d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.888 | $1.78K | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.928 | $1.06K | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.890 | $890 | 4d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 847.06 | $0.900 | $762.35 | 4d ago |
| Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.120 | $9.84 | 25d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 103.19 | $0.760 | $78.42 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.585 | $779.05 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 819.68 | $0.843 | $690.73 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 283.36 | $0.550 | $155.85 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.499 | $74.9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.971 | $1.28K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.870 | $37.41 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 199.97 | $0.977 | $195.37 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 458.68 | $0.890 | $408.18 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 589.48 | $0.540 | $318.32 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 687.66 | $0.500 | $343.83 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 916.87 | $0.540 | $495.11 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.580 | $63.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.573 | $579.49 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.570 | $596.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes | buy | 17.83 | $0.995 | $17.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes | buy | 351.03 | $0.997 | $349.97 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.940 | $40.42 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 288.12 | $0.986 | $284.19 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 343 | $0.620 | $212.66 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 567.48 | $0.610 | $346.16 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 438.37 | $0.819 | $359.05 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.995 | $1.62K | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 28.13 | $0.800 | $22.5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 110.41 | $0.976 | $107.76 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 135.67 | $0.971 | $131.77 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 52.64 | $0.950 | $50.01 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.045 | $22.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes | sell | 536.78 | $0.109 | $58.78 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.91 | $0.026 | $1.58 | Jun 26, 2026 |