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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.11 | $0.590 | $2.43 | Feb 3, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 2.51 |
| $0.995 |
| $2.5 |
| Dec 26, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5AM ETUp | buy | 8.07 | $0.564 | $4.55 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 758.33 | $0.006 | $4.55 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.52 | $0.994 | $2.5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.001 | $1.2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| sell | 187.81 | $0.003 | $0.56 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.009 | $6 | Dec 20, 2025 |
XRP Up or Down on December 20?Down | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down on December 20?Down | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on December 20?Down | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20?Down | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 23.52 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | sell | 109.78 | $0.061 | $6.67 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 64 | $0.032 | $2.05 | Dec 20, 2025 |
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.017 | $0.31 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.009 | $0.49 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 115.05 | $0.011 | $1.27 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 54.73 | $0.014 | $0.77 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 35.99 | $0.022 | $0.79 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.012 | $1.32 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.060 | $2.28 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.010 | $0.25 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.014 | $0.16 | Dec 18, 2025 |
North Korea missile launch by January 31?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.560 | $0.83 | Dec 18, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.014 | $0.93 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | sell | 2.43 | $0.640 | $1.56 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.003 | $4.2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| buy | 111 | $0.015 | $1.67 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.170 | $0.94 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.880 | $1.05 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 202.41 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 4.22 | $0.700 | $2.95 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.084 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes | buy | 132.41 | $0.023 | $3 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | sell | 13.51 | $0.070 | $0.95 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.140 | $1.08 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.640 | $1.12 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.033 | $0.83 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.130 | $0.93 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 685.75 | $0.003 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
XRP Up or Down - December 14, 11AM ETDown | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.480 | $3.1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.121 | $1.59 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during January press conference?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.460 | $1.04 | Dec 14, 2025 |