Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.76 | $0.170 | $8.76 | +$6.76 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.780 | $0.09 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.99 |
| $0.501 |
| $6.27 |
| +$2.27 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2.51 | +$0.51 |
 Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? | No | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2.37 | +$0.37 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 2.26 | $0.885 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.660 | $1.86 | -$0.14 |
 Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 3.08 | $0.650 | $1.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 1.31 | $0.765 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | $0 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.59 | $0.630 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.780 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
| buy |
| 2.63 |
| $0.760 |
| $2 |
| 7d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.765 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.053 | $1.11 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.341 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.04 | $0.042 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.886 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |