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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.99K | $0.612 | $2.87K | -$182.7 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 60.49 | $0.930 | $56.26 | 2h ago |
|
| No |
| 3.25K |
| $0.771 |
| $2.84K |
| +$336.44 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 2.15K | $0.714 | $1.92K | +$387.31 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.57K | $0.807 | $1.47K | +$201.21 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 1.46K | $0.885 | $1.35K | +$58.13 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 1.1K | $0.878 | $1.01K | +$45.96 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 974.77 | $0.874 | $887.04 | +$35.57 |
 Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | No | 1.4K | $0.503 | $844.75 | +$142.6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 785.43 | $0.766 | $671.54 | +$70.17 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | No | 587.82 | $0.944 | $554.02 | -$0.94 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 638.9 | $0.578 | $495.15 | +$125.58 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 657.5 | $0.699 | $430.66 | -$28.66 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 511.12 | $0.705 | $416.56 | +$56.15 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 585 | $0.601 | $377.33 | +$25.84 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 365.61 | $0.669 | $334.53 | +$89.89 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 323.7 | $0.944 | $313.5 | +$7.97 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 553.32 | $0.532 | $284.96 | -$9.25 |
 Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | No | 273.25 | $0.844 | $225.84 | -$4.71 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 230.95 | $0.892 | $209.01 | +$2.91 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 769.48 | $0.415 | $196.22 | -$123.24 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 533.82 | $0.657 | $194.85 | -$155.99 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 241.61 | $0.810 | $187.25 | -$8.46 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | No | 210.81 | $0.500 | $157.05 | +$51.65 |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 137.86 | $0.717 | $106.15 | +$7.3 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 205.24 | $0.403 | $86.41 | +$3.64 |
| sell |
| 738.94 |
| $0.930 |
| $687.21 |
| 2h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 20.87 | $0.930 | $19.41 | 2h ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 33.34 | $0.980 | $32.67 | 16h ago |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 546.06 | $0.532 | $290.58 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 310.52 | $0.610 | $189.42 | 16h ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.620 | $3.35 | 19h ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 123.34 | $0.610 | $75.24 | 19h ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.360 | $2.46 | 19h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 880.98 | $0.187 | $164.39 | 22h ago |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 67.58 | $0.190 | $12.84 | 23h ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.2 | $0.604 | $20.67 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.02 | $0.940 | $22.58 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.92 | $0.600 | $16.75 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.73 | $0.590 | $9.28 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.05 | $0.590 | $13.6 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.590 | $3.84 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 24.76 | $0.944 | $23.37 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 13.64 | $0.770 | $10.5 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 135.32 | $0.268 | $36.2 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 105.5 | $0.880 | $92.84 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.11 | $0.880 | $8.9 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.880 | $4.44 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.880 | $4.64 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.880 | $9.56 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 5.29 | $0.310 | $1.64 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 140.61 | $0.356 | $50.02 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.41 | $0.880 | $7.4 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.56 | $0.880 | $4.89 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 54.31 | $0.880 | $47.79 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.62 | $0.880 | $6.71 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.22 | $0.880 | $4.59 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.28 | $0.880 | $4.65 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.880 | $4.61 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.880 | $4.61 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.56 | $0.880 | $4.89 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.880 | $4.55 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.880 | $4.72 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 122.56 | $0.880 | $107.85 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 31.55 | $0.760 | $23.98 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 35.9 | $0.751 | $26.96 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.760 | $4.6 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 14.37 | $0.753 | $10.82 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.760 | $4.24 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.3 | $0.740 | $6.14 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.09 | $0.760 | $8.43 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.51 | $0.750 | $5.63 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.51 | $0.750 | $5.63 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.63 | $0.760 | $4.28 | 2d ago |