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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.540 | $5.03 | +$2.03 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 15.26 | $0.130 | $1.98 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.3 |
| $0.870 |
| $2.28 |
| +$0.28 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.75 | $0.400 | $2.01 | +$0.51 |
 Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 9.09 | $0.220 | $0.41 | -$1.59 |
| sell |
| 6.38 |
| $0.910 |
| $5.81 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.627 | $4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.968 | $4.2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.910 | $5.91 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.600 | $2.2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 7.51 | $0.199 | $1.49 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.260 | $0.72 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 2.57 | $0.777 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.730 | $2.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.999 | $4.54 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.580 | $1.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.924 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.024 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.999 | $2.02 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.410 | $1.78 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.800 | $0.96 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.240 | $1.09 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.09 | $0.360 | $2.19 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.400 | $1.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.240 | $2.18 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.650 | $1.2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.340 | $1.5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 11.26 | $0.974 | $10.97 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 11.27 | $0.976 | $11 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.38 | $0.358 | $3 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.260 | $1.13 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.170 | $1.36 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Jul 2, 2026 |