Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 90 | $0.560 | $53.55 | +$3.15 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 42.25 | $0.710 | $30 | 5h ago |
 |
| No |
| 76.98 |
| $0.715 |
| $53.5 |
| -$1.5 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 60 | $0.690 | $47.7 | +$6.3 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 60 | $0.740 | $47.1 | +$2.7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 58.06 | $0.689 | $38.23 | -$1.77 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.850 | $34.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 40 | $0.770 | $29.4 | -$1.4 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.640 | $28.6 | +$3 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.650 | $25.65 | +$6.15 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.840 | $25.05 | -$0.15 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $18.1 | +$0.3 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $17.7 | -$0.1 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10.31 | +$0.31 |
 Bills vs. Texans | Bills | 18.87 | $0.530 | $9.91 | -$0.09 |
| Ravens vs. Colts | Ravens | 15.63 | $0.640 | $9.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 30 | $0.640 | $6.9 | -$12.3 |
| buy |
| 58.06 |
| $0.689 |
| $40 |
| 5h ago |
| Bills vs. TexansBills | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | 6h ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | 11d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.550 | $3.77 | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.560 | $50.4 | 11d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | 11d ago |
| Ravens vs. ColtsRavens | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksSeahawks | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Bengals vs. EaglesEagles | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Seahawks vs. ChiefsSeahawks | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Commanders vs. RavensRavens | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Rams vs. ChargersRams | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Steelers vs. BillsBills | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | 16d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETDown | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETUp | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | sell | 9.09 | $0.350 | $3.18 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETDown | sell | 26.88 | $0.990 | $26.61 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | sell | 9.43 | $0.030 | $0.28 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETDown | buy | 26.88 | $0.930 | $25 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | sell | 7.81 | $0.990 | $7.73 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown | sell | 12.5 | $0.330 | $4.13 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp | sell | 9.54 | $0.990 | $9.44 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 9.54 | $0.524 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 20d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 20d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?No | buy | 21.13 | $0.710 | $15 | 20d ago |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 34.72 | $0.720 | $25 | 21d ago |
 Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | 21d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.950 | $38 | 21d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.995 | $29.85 | 23d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustSomething | buy | 70 | $0.150 | $10.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.640 | $19.2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.590 | $17.7 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.690 | $41.4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 60 | $0.740 | $44.4 | Aug 2, 2026 |