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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will annual inflation increase by between 24% and 26.9% in December?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.003 |
| $1 |
| Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 4?Yes | buy | 90.9 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 4?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 3?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 2?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 101.57 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 1?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 43.37 | $0.023 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 24?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 24?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 22?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 22?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 23?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 26?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on December 26?Yes | buy | 103.57 | $0.068 | $7 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 21?Yes | buy | 116.14 | $0.017 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 21?Yes | buy | 82.81 | $0.024 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on December 21?Yes | buy | 110.8 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 21?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 21?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Yes | buy | 155.97 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 68.01 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 18?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 17?No | buy | 33.9 | $0.059 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 17?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 16?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.480 | $13.09 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 16?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?Yes | buy | 104.01 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 16?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 ECB rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 188.02 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 14?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 14?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 15?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 15?Yes | buy | 110.49 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 15?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 16?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 16?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 16?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 16?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.062 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 11?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |