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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 35.85 | $0.560 | $20.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 46.07 |
| $0.520 |
| $23.96 |
| Apr 28, 2026 |
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 21.84 | $0.107 | $2.33 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | sell | 30 | $0.020 | $0.6 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | sell | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | sell | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | buy | 27.49 | $0.313 | $8.62 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | buy | 4.55 | $0.370 | $1.68 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.39 | $0.150 | $0.66 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp | sell | 20.06 | $0.252 | $5.06 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp | buy | 4.54 | $0.320 | $1.45 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETDown | buy | 4.75 | $0.650 | $3.09 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETDown | buy | 4.66 | $0.530 | $2.47 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp | buy | 4.6 | $0.440 | $2.02 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.81 | $0.740 | $3.56 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp | buy | 4.78 | $0.690 | $3.3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.044 | $22 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.045 | $18.02 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 339.54 | $0.958 | $325.28 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 200.77 | $0.498 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.540 | $200 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 575.55 | $0.347 | $200 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 100.05 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?No | buy | 308.64 | $0.810 | $250 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?No | buy | 70.63 | $0.810 | $57.21 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.270 | $2.16 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.16 | $0.260 | $25.78 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released on February 6, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released on February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released on February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 144.41 | $0.346 | $50 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.960 | $800 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 689.66 | $0.029 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No | sell | 41.67 | $0.980 | $40.84 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No | sell | 696.57 | $0.980 | $682.64 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No | sell | 696.57 | $0.980 | $682.64 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No | sell | 59.43 | $0.982 | $58.36 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 18.7 | $0.840 | $15.71 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No | buy | 531.91 | $0.940 | $500 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | sell | 405.69 | $0.030 | $12.17 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 7.45 | $0.920 | $6.85 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | sell | 224.33 | $0.360 | $80.76 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 357.16 | $0.280 | $100 | Feb 1, 2026 |