Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 309.15 | $0.082 | $25.35 | Sep 17, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 281.12 |
| $0.090 |
| $25.3 |
| Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 281.13 | $0.080 | $22.49 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?No | sell | 832.93 | $0.027 | $22.54 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.026 | $29.2 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 694.44 | $0.073 | $51 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.34K | $0.024 | $80.21 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 841.92 | $0.026 | $21.89 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 680.97 | $0.145 | $98.74 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.024 | $60 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.144 | $158.75 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.119 | $131.14 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.34K | $0.098 | $131.14 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 259.71 | $0.245 | $63.63 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 9?No | sell | 101.33 | $0.999 | $101.23 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 9?No | buy | 101.34 | $0.830 | $84.11 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 127.06 | $0.157 | $20 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 4PM ETUp | sell | 105.17 | $0.990 | $104.12 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 4PM ETUp | buy | 105.18 | $0.740 | $77.83 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.070 | $77.83 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 953.3 | $0.115 | $109.63 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.100 | $111.18 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet between 510 and 539 times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 655 | $0.016 | $10.49 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet between 540 and 569 times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 532.14 | $0.006 | $3 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?No | buy | 832.94 | $0.036 | $30 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on September 3?Yes | buy | 167.74 | $0.676 | $113.39 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 2?Yes | sell | 109.93 | $0.990 | $108.83 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on September 3?Yes | sell | 76.03 | $0.060 | $4.56 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on September 3?Yes | buy | 76.03 | $0.283 | $21.5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 2?Yes | buy | 109.94 | $0.721 | $79.24 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on September 2?Yes | sell | 80.86 | $0.980 | $79.24 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on September 2?Yes | buy | 80.86 | $0.907 | $73.35 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?Yes | sell | 86.12 | $0.666 | $57.33 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign today?Yes | sell | 2.67K | $0.006 | $16.02 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign today?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.007 | $9.69 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign today?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.007 | $9 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on September 2?Yes | sell | 19.88 | $0.940 | $18.69 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on September 2?Yes | buy | 19.88 | $0.890 | $17.69 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on September 2?Yes | sell | 194.31 | $0.091 | $17.69 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on September 2?Yes | buy | 194.31 | $0.386 | $75.03 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on September 2?Yes | sell | 144.3 | $0.520 | $75.04 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on September 2?Yes | buy | 144.31 | $0.666 | $96.11 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?No | sell | 141.34 | $0.680 | $96.11 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?No | buy | 141.34 | $0.700 | $98.94 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 1?Yes | sell | 197.16 | $0.502 | $98.94 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 1?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.790 | $2.96 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 1?Yes | sell | 59.11 | $0.050 | $2.96 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 1?Yes | buy | 193.42 | $0.816 | $157.82 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?Yes | buy | 86.12 | $0.697 | $60 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 1?Yes | buy | 59.12 | $0.338 | $20 | Sep 1, 2025 |