Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 574.71 | $0.870 | $502.87 | +$2.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.870 | $435 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 500 |
| $0.870 |
| $402.5 |
| -$32.5 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 300 | $0.790 | $250.5 | +$13.5 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.930 | $192.3 | +$6.3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 180 | $0.840 | $177.21 | +$26.01 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.630 | $7.22 | -$2.78 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.930 |
| $186 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.790 | $31.6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 180 | $0.840 | $151.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 574.71 | $0.870 | $500 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.900 | $500 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No | buy | 704.36 | $0.710 | $500 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 45.45 | $0.550 | $25 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes | buy | 107.58 | $0.930 | $100 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 470.59 | $0.850 | $400 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.910 | $364 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.990 | $395.91 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.810 | $323.93 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 700 | $0.999 | $699.3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 700 | $0.760 | $532 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?No | sell | 139.09 | $0.999 | $138.95 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?No | buy | 534.99 | $0.935 | $500 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Yes | buy | 512.82 | $0.780 | $400 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 472.11 | $0.635 | $300 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will no leader be out in 2025?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.990 | $1.58K | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will no leader be out in 2025?No | buy | 602.13 | $0.564 | $339.44 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 339.45 | $0.847 | $287.68 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel carry out an airstrike on the West Bank by September 30?No | sell | 396.82 | $0.685 | $271.71 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Israel carry out an airstrike on the West Bank by September 30?No | buy | 396.83 | $0.630 | $250 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security deal before September?No | sell | 257.25 | $0.947 | $243.62 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Israel x Syria security deal before September?No | buy | 257.26 | $0.777 | $200 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | sell | 322.58 | $0.998 | $321.93 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will no leader be out in 2025?No | buy | 988.68 | $0.697 | $688.88 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.930 | $300 | Jul 4, 2025 |