Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 61.59 | $0.730 | $44.96 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 37.5 |
| $0.800 |
| $30 |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?No | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 62.23 | $0.750 | $46.67 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 15.24 | $0.800 | $12.19 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | sell | 107.52 | $0.012 | $1.29 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 31.74 | $0.460 | $14.6 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.093 | $10 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 204.63 | $0.049 | $10 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 169.49 | $0.059 | $10 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | sell | 104.81 | $0.998 | $104.6 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 104.81 | $0.231 | $24.23 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 219.11 | $0.180 | $39.44 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.180 | $8 | Aug 9, 2025 |