Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat? | Yes | 43.41 | $0.910 | $42.28 | +$2.78 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 19.79 | $0.780 | $15.44 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 44.64 |
| $0.560 |
| $8.71 |
| -$16.29 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No| buy |
| 6.68 |
| $0.780 |
| $5.21 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 13.15 | $0.370 | $4.86 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown | buy | 11.07 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.5 | $0.180 | $0.99 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 15.26 | $0.320 | $4.88 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 16.97 | $0.390 | $6.62 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 58.45 | $0.350 | $20.46 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.011 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by February 28?No | buy | 45.59 | $0.439 | $20 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?Yes | buy | 91.14 | $0.219 | $20 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 7.75 | $0.500 | $3.88 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 47.35 | $0.410 | $19.41 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp | sell | 59.68 | $0.010 | $0.6 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 49.36 | $0.200 | $9.87 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown | buy | 31.52 | $0.310 | $9.77 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown | buy | 40.97 | $0.240 | $9.83 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 49.89 | $0.070 | $3.49 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 94.56 | $0.310 | $29.31 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 9.82 | $0.260 | $2.55 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 133.88 | $0.299 | $40 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?No | buy | 191.69 | $0.104 | $20 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?No | buy | 487.22 | $0.041 | $20 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.49 | $0.820 | $25 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?Yes | buy | 86.81 | $0.910 | $79 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.07 | $0.949 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 ICE forced to unmask by February 28?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?Yes | buy | 34.9 | $0.573 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?No | buy | 20.88 | $0.958 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.35 | $0.983 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 533.96 | $0.187 | $100 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on February 1?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or higher on February 1?Yes | buy | 20.66 | $0.339 | $7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 162 | $0.247 | $40 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on February 1?Yes | buy | 6.79 | $0.740 | $5.02 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.004 | $6.01 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 43.26 | $0.994 | $43 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 857.14 | $0.007 | $6 | Jan 31, 2026 |