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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3.57 | +$0.57 |
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.271 | $1.85 | Jun 7, 2026 |
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| Anthropic + OpenAI |
| 1.75 |
| $0.570 |
| $0.75 |
| -$0.25 |
| buy |
| 15.38 |
| $0.065 |
| $1 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic + OpenAI | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.093 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.087 | $0.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |