Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 446.45 | $0.557 | $29.02 | -$219.48 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.88 |
| $0.850 |
| $5.56 |
| +$0.56 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
| sell |
| 3.39K |
| $0.016 |
| $52.66 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 39.71 | $0.655 | $26 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.5 | $0.930 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel in March?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.051 | $103 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 182.34 | $0.560 | $102.17 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.050 | $69 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 65.49 | $0.040 | $2.62 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 32.05 | $0.936 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 102.67 | $0.974 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.550 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.39 | $0.981 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 33.44 | $0.897 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.996 | $23.43 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.997 | $33.22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 50.65 | $0.994 | $50.35 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 51.02 | $0.994 | $50.71 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 117.28 | $0.996 | $116.81 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 53.07 | $0.377 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.82 | $0.975 | $32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.66 | $0.987 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.46 | $0.985 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.76 | $0.985 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.130 | $1.41 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.71 | $0.890 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 689.65 | $0.006 | $4.14 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 689.66 | $0.029 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.929 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.929 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 26.01 | $0.961 | $25 | Feb 17, 2026 |