Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 14, 2026 |
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Insistent-Door is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #3,015,788 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$1.28K observed lifetime PnL, 1,796 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 88.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xdb8e40b3172ae802016c32e6c70d146f823f31f7
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 99.99 |
| $0.870 |
| $86.99 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.918 | $59.65 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.680 | $67.99 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $91.99 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 14?No | sell | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Athens Open: Clara Tauson vs Sara Bejlek AND Rome: Deborah Chiesa vs Lucia Bronzetti | buy | 22.11 | $0.900 | $19.9 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 14?No | buy | 81.14 | $0.975 | $79.11 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.964 | $96.37 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.896 | $17.92 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.147 | $15.04 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.321 | $32.1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | sell | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.129 | $12.9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.056 | $5.6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | sell | 34.48 | $0.310 | $10.69 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No | buy | 60 | $0.013 | $0.78 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No | buy | 11 | $0.012 | $0.13 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | buy | 56.32 | $0.053 | $2.97 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 205.52 | $0.719 | $147.77 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.954 | $190.75 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 205.52 | $0.973 | $200 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No | buy | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?No | buy | 21.29 | $0.730 | $15.54 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 390 | $0.992 | $386.88 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.57 | $0.999 | $31.54 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.960 | $288 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | sell | 300 | $0.996 | $298.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.974 | $74.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.999 | $99.89 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 89.35 | $0.970 | $86.67 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.109 | $10.9 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.