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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.999 | $5.85 | Dec 31, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 5.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $5 |
| Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.987 | $3 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 30.85 | $0.750 | $23.14 | Dec 29, 2025 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.999 | $1.09 | Oct 30, 2025 |
US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 15.03 | $0.998 | $15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 458.33 | $0.006 | $2.75 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by June 30?No | buy | 5.73 | $0.995 | $5.7 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Bitcoin all time high before July?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May?No | buy | 23.79 | $0.988 | $23.5 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 44.0% on April 25?No | buy | 24.77 | $0.989 | $24.5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Will Coinbase announce tokenized $COIN in March?No | buy | 24.24 | $0.990 | $24 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk tweet less than 300 times February 7-14?No | sell | 50.65 | $0.994 | $50.35 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?Yes | sell | 518.18 | $0.100 | $51.82 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 182.92 | $0.982 | $179.63 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?No | sell | 503.59 | $0.974 | $490.25 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?Yes | buy | 518.18 | $0.110 | $57 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk tweet less than 300 times February 7-14?No | buy | 50.66 | $0.987 | $50 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 182.93 | $0.984 | $180 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 503.6 | $0.973 | $490 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.58 | $0.720 | $7.62 | Feb 1, 2025 |
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.59 | $0.850 | $9 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.984 | $3 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Wizards vs. 76ers76ers | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Assad public appearance before 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.969 | $14.54 | Dec 30, 2024 |
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | sell | 23.37 | $0.770 | $17.99 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?Yes | sell | 27.47 | $0.850 | $23.35 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No | sell | 43.75 | $0.690 | $30.19 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Sabato De Sarno out as creative Director of Gucci before February?No | sell | 40.19 | $0.834 | $33.52 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No | buy | 43.75 | $0.800 | $35 | Dec 28, 2024 |
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.38 | $0.770 | $18 | Dec 28, 2024 |
Sabato De Sarno out as creative Director of Gucci before February?No | buy | 40.19 | $0.821 | $33 | Dec 28, 2024 |
Assad public appearance before 2025?No | buy | 30.82 | $0.973 | $30 | Dec 28, 2024 |
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?Yes | buy | 27.47 | $0.910 | $25 | Dec 28, 2024 |