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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 8.75 | $0.800 | $8.18 | +$1.18 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 8.75 |
| $0.800 |
| $7.39 |
| +$0.39 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 9.43 | $0.480 | $7.17 | +$2.64 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 9.63 | $0.720 | $6.89 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 9.44 | $0.740 | $6.7 | -$0.28 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.28 | $0.570 | $6.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10.95 | $0.550 | $6.02 | $0 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.97 | +$0.93 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.71 | +$0.67 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.13 | $0.610 | $5.33 | +$0.37 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.770 | $5.23 | -$1.77 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 11.29 | $0.620 | $4.91 | -$2.09 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.65 | $0.550 | $4.89 | +$0.13 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 9 | $0.390 | $1.94 | -$1.57 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.26 | $0.500 | $1.92 | -$4.71 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.8 | $0.500 | $1.52 | -$3.38 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.51 | -$0.35 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.210 | $1.48 | -$0.2 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 8.97 | $0.230 | $1.26 | -$0.81 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.87 | -$0.39 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | Yes | 9 | $0.240 | $0.05 | -$2.11 |
| buy |
| 6.08 |
| $0.720 |
| $4.38 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.267 | $1.62 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.470 | $4.23 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.650 | $4.95 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?Up | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.772 | $5.43 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.350 | $3.15 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of June 22 2026?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.800 | $5.67 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.490 | $5.39 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of June 22 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.520 | $4.68 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.36 | $0.220 | $1.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.400 | $1.56 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.590 | $1.77 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $96 Week of June 15 2026?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.750 | $4.88 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 15?Down | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.660 | $6.7 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 12?No | buy | 9 | $0.550 | $4.95 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.880 | $1.78 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.65 | $0.550 | $4.76 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | buy | 11.4 | $0.350 | $3.99 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 25 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.26 | $0.500 | $6.63 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.21 | $0.530 | $5.94 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.240 | $2.16 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.25 | $0.223 | $1.84 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 8.5 | $0.220 | $1.87 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 74% and 75%?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.240 | $2.16 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?Yes | buy | 8.81 | $0.318 | $2.8 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.630 | $4.64 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.410 | $4.51 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.210 | $1.68 | May 13, 2026 |