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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 15.56 | $0.996 | $15.49 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.56 | $0.996 | $15.5 | 3d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 11.52 |
| $0.998 |
| $11.5 |
| 18d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 4.01 | $0.895 | $3.59 | 18d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.12 | $0.999 | $15.1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15?Yes | buy | 65.07 | $0.999 | $65 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?No | buy | 64.06 | $0.999 | $64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 64.96 | $0.999 | $64.9 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?Yes | buy | 64.86 | $0.999 | $64.8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 64.86 | $0.999 | $64.8 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 64.76 | $0.999 | $64.7 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?No | buy | 64.66 | $0.999 | $64.6 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?No | buy | 64.66 | $0.999 | $64.6 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 64.56 | $0.999 | $64.5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?Yes | buy | 64.56 | $0.999 | $64.5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 21?No | buy | 64.5 | $0.999 | $64.44 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?Yes | buy | 64.44 | $0.999 | $64.38 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 8?No | buy | 64.38 | $0.999 | $64.31 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 64.31 | $0.999 | $64.25 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 25?No | buy | 64.25 | $0.999 | $64.19 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?No | buy | 64.18 | $0.999 | $64.12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?No | buy | 65.52 | $0.998 | $65.39 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 3?No | buy | 65.4 | $0.999 | $65.33 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 1?No | buy | 65.33 | $0.997 | $65.13 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No | buy | 65.14 | $0.999 | $65.07 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 65.07 | $0.999 | $65 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Capitals vs. KrakenCapitals | buy | 40.77 | $0.520 | $21.2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 13?No | buy | 86.21 | $0.999 | $86.12 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 86.12 | $0.999 | $86.03 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 2?Yes | buy | 86.03 | $0.999 | $85.94 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $160 on December 27?No | buy | 85.95 | $0.999 | $85.86 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 25.8 | $0.999 | $25.77 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 19?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 19?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 15?Yes | buy | 86.97 | $0.999 | $86.88 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 24.94 | $0.999 | $24.92 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 24.07 | $0.997 | $24 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.999 | $24 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 5?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 19?No | buy | 18 | $0.999 | $17.98 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 46°F or higher on November 19?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.994 | $1.25 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 18?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 18 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.998 | $1.16 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 18?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.999 | $1.26 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.992 | $1.35 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 21.76 | $0.999 | $21.74 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $180 on November 6?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 21.73 | $0.999 | $21.71 | Nov 2, 2025 |