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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 12.3 | $0.894 | $5.01 | -$5.99 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No | sell | 4.21 | $0.960 | $4.04 | May 30, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4.18 |
| $0.958 |
| $4.1 |
| +$0.1 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027? | No | 4.17 | $0.959 | $4.04 | +$0.04 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | No | 2.04 | $0.982 | $1.57 | -$0.43 |
| sell |
| 5.26 |
| $0.950 |
| $5 |
| May 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.914 | $5.07 | May 30, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No | sell | 5.28 | $0.990 | $5.23 | May 30, 2026 |
 Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.928 | $5.33 | May 30, 2026 |
 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?No | sell | 6.59 | $0.971 | $6.4 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.13 | $0.872 | $7.09 | May 30, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 7.32 | $0.994 | $7.28 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.86 | $0.950 | $7.47 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.27 | $0.966 | $7.99 | May 30, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No | sell | 8.61 | $0.945 | $8.14 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.62 | $0.950 | $9.14 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 10.43 | $0.983 | $10.25 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 13.52 | $0.934 | $12.63 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.930 | $10.69 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.27 | $0.967 | $8 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.841 | $2.02K | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.89K | $0.957 | $1.81K | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.78K | $0.968 | $2.69K | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.63 | $0.935 | $9 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No | buy | 8.61 | $0.929 | $8 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.89K | $0.959 | $1.81K | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
 AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?Yes | buy | 15.99 | $0.938 | $15 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 12.3 | $0.894 | $11 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 13.53 | $0.961 | $13 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.946 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.860 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.956 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.87 | $0.890 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 5°C or below on April 8?No | buy | 9.1 | $0.996 | $9.07 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 8?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 8?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.930 | $4.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 8?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 8?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.958 | $4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.33 | $0.945 | $5.04 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Up | sell | 1.82 | $0.904 | $1.64 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.822 | $4.19 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | sell | 6.13 | $0.984 | $6.03 | Apr 7, 2026 |