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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 50 | $0.812 | $46.25 | +$5.63 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 47.35 |
| $0.863 |
| $46.04 |
| +$5.17 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | No | 26.6 | $0.940 | $25.78 | +$0.77 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 27.47 | $0.011 | $17.29 | +$16.98 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 39.82 | $0.879 | $14.93 | -$20.07 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.910 | $14.18 | +$0.53 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 14.02 | $0.902 | $13.6 | +$0.96 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.66 | +$0.66 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 11.25 | $0.889 | $10.2 | +$0.2 |
 Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.89 | $0.920 | $10.08 | +$0.05 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | No | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10 | +$0.01 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | $0 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.820 | $9.35 | +$1.15 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.530 | $8.7 | +$3.4 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | No | 6.28 | $0.796 | $6.25 | +$1.25 |
 New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5.41 | +$0.41 |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.4 | +$0.39 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 6.05 | $0.827 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.13 | +$0.14 |
 OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? | Meta | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 50.09 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.05 |
| 8d ago |
 Will Stripe have the highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | sell | 29.7 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 8d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.5 | $0.959 | $15.82 | 11d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation be at least $2.25T at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation be less than $500B at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation be less than $500B at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.796 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.98 | $0.910 | $9.99 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 101.63 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 101.63 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 101.63 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Etoro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 3.86 | $0.647 | $2.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.989 | $4.99 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.990 | $15 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 3?Up | buy | 15.15 | $0.990 | $15 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 25.1 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 25.1 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 25.1 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Middle East" in August?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.958 | $15 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?No | buy | 25.8 | $0.969 | $25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 25.33 | $0.987 | $25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Stripe have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | sell | 17.84 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Stripe have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | sell | 15.02 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Perplexity have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | sell | 32.86 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Lambda have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | sell | 15.02 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Canva have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | sell | 32.86 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Anduril have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |