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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 6.21K | $0.452 | $403.78 | -$2.41K |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.72K | $0.028 | $75.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 420 |
| $0.180 |
| $75.6 |
| Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.75K | $0.400 | $1.5K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.280 | $800 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.160 | $100 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 440.01 | $0.227 | $100 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.77K | $0.161 | $445.63 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.400 | $800 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.88K | $0.520 | $1.5K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 967.41 | $0.490 | $474.03 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.112 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?Yes | buy | 674.03 | $0.301 | $202.64 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?Yes | buy | 231.59 | $0.216 | $50 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.219 | $242.13 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.206 | $250 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 422.24 | $0.170 | $71.78 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Trump blowout victory?Yes | buy | 329.06 | $0.152 | $50 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Trump blowout victory?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.150 | $75 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.200 | $300 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.586 | $1.5K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 218.75 | $0.160 | $35 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump smoke weed with Rogan?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.002 | $1.11 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 574.88 | $0.169 | $97.23 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "fake news" on The Joe Rogan Experience?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.910 | $41.36 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "fake news" on The Joe Rogan Experience?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | sell | 706.47 | $0.136 | $95.87 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Pocahontas" on The Joe Rogan Experience?No | buy | 48.11 | $0.750 | $36.08 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump smoke weed with Rogan?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 940.44 | $0.638 | $600 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 706.47 | $0.170 | $120 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Trump blowout victory?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.200 | $250 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.607 | $791.29 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.280 | $200 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.603 | $0.2 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.270 | $120 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.601 | $120.2 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.601 | $960.13 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?No | buy | 500.25 | $0.400 | $200 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Caroline Ellison sentenced to 1-11 months in prison?Yes | sell | 869.06 | $0.160 | $139.05 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?Yes | sell | 306.12 | $0.492 | $150.48 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Caroline Ellison sentenced to 12-23 months in prison?Yes | sell | 384.46 | $0.230 | $88.43 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Caroline Ellison sentenced to 12-23 months in prison?Yes | buy | 384.47 | $0.260 | $100 | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Caroline Ellison sentenced to 1-11 months in prison?Yes | buy | 869.07 | $0.236 | $204.98 | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 306.12 | $0.490 | $150 | Sep 23, 2024 |