Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | sell | 289.42 | $0.325 | $94.07 | Jun 24, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 188.45 |
| $0.458 |
| $86.29 |
| Jun 24, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 100.98 | $0.850 | $85.83 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 214.18 | $0.401 | $85.83 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 75.98 | $0.769 | $58.43 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.58 | $0.642 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 62.21 | $0.643 | $40 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.36 | $0.651 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.55 | $0.643 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 29.5 | $0.339 | $10 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?No | buy | 15.24 | $0.984 | $15 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?No | buy | 20.3 | $0.985 | $20 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 35.84 | $0.351 | $12.56 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 35.84 | $0.279 | $10 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.420 | $2.71 | May 13, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 15.65 | $0.100 | $1.57 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | May 6, 2025 |
 India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?Yes | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 10.53 | $0.972 | $10.24 | May 6, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 41.41 | $0.966 | $40 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.960 | $5.99 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.66 | $0.319 | $5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 78.15 | $0.930 | $72.68 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?No | sell | 0.47 | $0.350 | $0.16 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 US lifts Russia sanctions before April?No | buy | 40.61 | $0.985 | $40 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?No | buy | 34.57 | $0.434 | $15 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Mar 28, 2025 |