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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 29.63 | $0.680 | $13.48 | -$6.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.960 | $1.89 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 21.13 |
| $0.310 |
| $11.73 |
| +$5.18 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10.37 | $0.848 | $9.8 | +$1.01 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 7.59 | $0.854 | $7.09 | +$0.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 7.23 | $0.704 | $6.18 | +$1.09 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 5.89 | $0.861 | $5.21 | +$0.14 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 4.97 | $0.977 | $4.93 | +$0.07 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 6.68 | $0.683 | $4.91 | +$0.35 |
 Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 4.67 | $0.944 | $3.93 | -$0.48 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.6 | $0.366 | $2.81 | +$0.76 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.58 | $0.520 | $2.06 | +$0.2 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 2 | $0.720 | $1.91 | +$0.47 |
 Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 1.91 | $0.990 | $1.9 | +$0.01 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | No | 1.35 | $0.914 | $1.31 | +$0.08 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 2.47 | $0.660 | $1.12 | -$0.51 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.26 | $0.610 | $0.21 | -$1.17 |
| buy |
| 4.94 |
| $0.989 |
| $4.89 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 4.86 | $0.910 | $4.42 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.970 | $1.93 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.977 | $2.86 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.770 | $2.26 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 9.11 | $0.996 | $9.07 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.660 | $1.63 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.03 | $0.411 | $3.3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.929 | $1.81 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.997 | $2.12 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 2.75 | $0.850 | $2.34 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.58 | $0.520 | $1.86 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 29.63 | $0.680 | $20.15 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 21.13 | $0.310 | $6.55 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.961 | $5.96 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 4.17 | $0.964 | $4.02 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.850 | $1.79 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.864 | $1.11 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.640 | $1.09 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 4.97 | $0.977 | $4.86 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.175 | $1.4 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.930 | $1.21 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.3 | $0.057 | $1.1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.770 | $1.44 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.840 | $1.18 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.997 | $2.37 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.530 | $1.53 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.530 | $1.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 96.67 | $0.033 | $3.19 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.996 | $3.24 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by July 31?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.977 | $4.02 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 96.67 | $0.033 | $3.19 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.970 | $4.05 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.940 | $3.06 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.360 | $1.09 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.550 | $1.58 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.940 | $1.8 | May 20, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora | buy | 1.87 | $0.890 | $1.66 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.990 | $1.89 | May 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.969 | $1.25 | May 19, 2026 |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPARIVISION | buy | 1.47 | $0.740 | $1.09 | May 19, 2026 |
 LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsBNK FEARX | buy | 1.57 | $0.810 | $1.27 | May 19, 2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports | buy | 1.44 | $0.800 | $1.15 | May 19, 2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports | buy | 1.49 | $0.770 | $1.15 | May 19, 2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports | buy | 1.54 | $0.760 | $1.17 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.984 | $1.12 | May 18, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.968 | $1.01 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.987 | $1.97 | May 18, 2026 |