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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 6.3K | $0.617 | $4.06K | +$174.26 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.490 | $40.67 | 26m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 4.09K |
| $0.533 |
| $3.75K |
| +$1.57K |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 6.35K | $0.342 | $2.38K | +$206.72 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2.59K | $0.392 | $1.41K | +$397.09 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 2.65K | $0.567 | $1.22K | -$282.68 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 372.05 | $0.767 | $340.43 | +$55.21 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.1K | $0.446 | $266.24 | -$1.56K |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 279.64 | $0.660 | $197.14 | +$12.58 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 224.61 | $0.492 | $117.92 | +$7.37 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 226.08 | $0.494 | $107.39 | -$4.22 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 268 | $0.290 | $79.06 | +$1.34 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.310 | $61.5 | -$31.5 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 241.24 | $0.556 | $48.37 | -$85.88 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 631.51 | $0.208 | $47.36 | -$83.76 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 10.12 | $0.830 | $10.12 | +$1.72 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 387.46 | $0.112 | $8.52 | -$34.84 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 245.04 | $0.285 | $8.21 | -$61.74 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 44 | $0.070 | $5.94 | +$2.86 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | No | 4.87 | $0.800 | $4.76 | +$0.86 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $2.51 | +$0.01 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.429 | $1.01 | -$1.14 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $0.94 | -$1.56 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.494 | $0.81 | -$1.66 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.417 | $0.72 | -$1.36 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.488 | $0.39 | -$2.05 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.520 |
| $2.6 |
| 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.490 | $2.45 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 6 | $0.520 | $3.12 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.474 | $12.32 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 112 | $0.520 | $58.24 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 72.42 | $0.500 | $36.21 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 204.17 | $0.480 | $98 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 132.6 | $0.500 | $66.3 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.460 | $21.62 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 47.89 | $0.530 | $25.38 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 19.35 | $0.550 | $10.64 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 18.42 | $0.440 | $8.1 | 6h ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 30.78 | $0.245 | $7.54 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.130 | $0.78 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.130 | $3.51 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.635 | $54.61 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.795 | $26.24 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 91.35 | $0.200 | $18.27 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.38 | $0.770 | $66.47 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 105 | $0.200 | $21 | 4d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.270 | $135 | 4d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.904 | $36.16 | 5d ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | buy | 272.06 | $0.660 | $179.56 | 5d ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | buy | 507.58 | $0.660 | $335 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.550 | $6.72 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.26 | $0.348 | $3.92 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.330 | $7.92 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 24.35 | $0.690 | $16.8 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.99 | $0.230 | $5.52 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 30.43 | $0.690 | $21 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.707 | $25.45 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 100.78 | $0.834 | $84 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 28.39 | $0.799 | $22.68 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.530 | $2.7 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | buy | 4.28 | $0.420 | $1.8 | 5d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 76.89 | $0.850 | $65.36 | 7d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.621 | $62.09 | 7d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 7.17 | $0.820 | $5.88 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.42 | $0.140 | $0.9 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | 7d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.750 | $18 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.58 | $0.120 | $8.71 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.160 | $12.64 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.130 | $1.09 | 7d ago |