Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.240 | $0.47 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 142.85 |
| $0.003 |
| $0.43 |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | sell | 5.78 | $0.117 | $0.68 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Billie Eilish rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.013 | $0.33 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.005 | $0.54 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.160 | $0.67 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.018 | $0.49 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.170 | $0.74 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.400 | $0.71 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.240 | $0.8 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.017 | $0.85 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.088 | $0.83 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.016 | $0.84 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.110 | $0.9 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.030 | $0.88 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.620 | $0.92 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.430 | $0.86 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.06 | $0.148 | $0.9 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.210 | $0.95 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.090 | $0.82 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.120 | $0.92 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.790 | $0.96 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.620 | $0.97 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.044 | $0.94 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.902 | $0.98 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.320 | $0.97 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.900 | $0.97 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.490 | $0.94 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.550 | $0.98 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.870 | $0.98 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.977 | $0.99 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.904 | $0.99 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.985 | $0.99 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.056 | $0.97 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.982 | $0.99 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.849 | $0.99 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.920 | $0.99 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.927 | $1.07 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.350 | $1.03 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.23 | $0.092 | $1.03 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.044 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.700 | $1.13 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.042 | $1.11 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by October 31?Yes | sell | 99.03 | $0.011 | $1.09 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.450 | $1.36 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.008 | $1.33 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 2.79 | $0.800 | $2.23 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.037 | $2.31 | Oct 28, 2025 |