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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $2.27 | +$1.27 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.27 |
| $0.880 |
| $2.21 |
| +$0.21 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 2.26 | $0.885 | $1.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 2.3 | $0.870 | $1.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.863 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1.09 | $0.914 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.05 | $0.951 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 3.36 | $0.298 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 1.08 |
| $0.930 |
| $1 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.893 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 75 and 99 points?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.856 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.941 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.124 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.775 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.503 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.012 | $0.02 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.863 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.030 | $0.05 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.859 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.997 | $2.62 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |