Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.860 | $64 | -$22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 333.6 | $0.600 | $200 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.55K |
| $0.129 |
| $41.15 |
| -$158.85 |
| sell |
| 293.34 |
| $0.995 |
| $291.97 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 189.11 | $0.110 | $20.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 4.05K | $0.052 | $209.01 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 189.11 | $0.216 | $40.88 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 783.51 | $0.128 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 267.07 | $0.749 | $200 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.05K | $0.049 | $200 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.056 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 545.87 | $0.366 | $200 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.120 | $200 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?No | buy | 293.35 | $0.682 | $200 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes | buy | 286.11 | $0.017 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |