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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.15K | $0.952 | $2.06K | +$17.69 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 49.25 | $0.962 | $47.38 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 864.6 |
| $0.916 |
| $808.4 |
| +$16.03 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 424.78 | $0.910 | $392.71 | +$6.26 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 272.3 | $0.919 | $261.82 | +$11.42 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 285.81 | $0.860 | $255.8 | +$9.94 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 227.51 | $0.935 | $218.07 | +$5.22 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 166.31 | $0.886 | $160.74 | +$13.39 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 101.5 | $0.980 | $99.52 | +$0.02 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | No | 88.84 | $0.910 | $85.51 | +$4.68 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 84.08 | $0.831 | $77.77 | +$7.92 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | Yes | 78.64 | $0.831 | $74.98 | +$9.64 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 65.16 | $0.918 | $64.08 | +$4.26 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? | No | 66 | $0.851 | $62.83 | +$6.69 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 65.72 | $0.834 | $57.51 | +$2.71 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 52.04 | $0.935 | $51.15 | +$2.49 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.963 | $49.58 | +$1.43 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 51.09 | $0.946 | $47.11 | -$1.23 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 42.61 | $0.901 | $39.84 | +$1.44 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 45.71 | $0.744 | $39.08 | +$5.08 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 41.79 | $0.927 | $36.25 | -$2.5 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 36.25 | $0.954 | $34.49 | -$0.11 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 33.19 | $0.921 | $31.03 | +$0.48 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 30 | $0.960 | $29.19 | +$0.39 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.790 | $24.15 | +$0.45 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 21.35 | $0.846 | $20.52 | +$2.46 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.940 |
| $47 |
| 2d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.963 | $1.09 | 6d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | 8d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.963 | $1.42 | 13d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.890 | $13.35 | 15d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | 21d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | 22d ago |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 28d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 10 | $0.915 | $9.15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.977 | $19.54 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 74.09 | $0.961 | $71.2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.961 | $4.81 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.700 | $1.84 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 44.1 | $0.780 | $34.4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 19.2 | $0.790 | $15.17 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.893 | $17.87 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.330 | $66 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.860 | $74.82 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | buy | 7.49 | $0.790 | $5.92 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 10 | $0.934 | $9.34 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 20 | $0.502 | $10.04 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.57 | $0.963 | $16.92 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.962 | $481 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.07 | $0.949 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 312.12 | $0.961 | $300 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.946 | $9.46 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?No | buy | 10 | $0.685 | $6.85 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 33 | $0.930 | $30.69 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.640 | $12.31 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.830 | $12.2 | Jul 8, 2026 |