Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 9.02 | $0.459 | $5.46 | +$1.32 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | 4d ago |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks |
Gullible-Warming is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,876,099 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$392.67 observed lifetime PnL, 135 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 74.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xda0b89a0a47536649af99ae26aeb1e7ce00aa181
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.390 |
| $2.34 |
| 4d ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | 4d ago |
| Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots | buy | 6 | $0.390 | $2.34 | 4d ago |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.590 | $10.62 | 5d ago |
 SMU vs. Florida StateFlorida State | buy | 16 | $0.420 | $6.72 | 5d ago |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.830 | $14.94 | 8d ago |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-26?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 18d ago |
 UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | sell | 78.5 | $0.260 | $20.41 | 28d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 29d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | buy | 12 | $0.260 | $3.12 | 29d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 29d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 29d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | buy | 8 | $0.260 | $2.08 | 29d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | buy | 8 | $0.260 | $2.08 | 29d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | buy | 16 | $0.260 | $4.16 | 29d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | buy | 14.5 | $0.260 | $3.77 | 29d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Alexia Thainara | buy | 11.14 | $0.780 | $8.69 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Alexia Thainara | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims)Ty Miller | buy | 17 | $0.790 | $13.43 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Diyar Nurgozhay | buy | 13.72 | $0.610 | $8.37 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)Manoel Sousa | buy | 8.6 | $0.850 | $7.31 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)Juliana Miller | buy | 7 | $0.770 | $5.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)Mateusz Rebecki | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Stephanie Luciano | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETDown | buy | 158 | $0.010 | $1.58 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian MannarinoAdrian Mannarino | buy | 24.5 | $0.160 | $3.92 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | buy | 24.17 | $0.580 | $14.03 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | buy | 9.88 | $0.730 | $7.21 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | buy | 6.25 | $0.520 | $3.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 101.25 | $0.040 | $4.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 44 | $0.030 | $1.32 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 11 | $0.110 | $1.21 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp | buy | 14.13 | $0.600 | $8.48 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp | buy | 14 | $0.840 | $11.76 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp | buy | 9 | $0.780 | $7.02 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETDown | buy | 434 | $0.010 | $4.34 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETDown | buy | 12.8 | $0.900 | $11.52 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.66 | $0.950 | $1.58 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETDown | buy | 6.38 | $0.500 | $3.19 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETDown | buy | 49.47 | $0.530 | $26.22 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp | buy | 8 | $0.240 | $1.92 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp | buy | 11.75 | $0.240 | $2.82 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETUp | buy | 74 | $0.020 | $1.48 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.