Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 140.57 | $0.065 | $5.41 | -$3.79 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.110 | $4.4 | 17d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| $0.250 |
| $3.4 |
| -$6.6 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 107.01 | $0.056 | $2.73 | -$3.27 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 37.39 | $0.134 | $2.62 | -$2.38 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.49 | $0.069 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 5 | $0.600 | $0.73 | -$2.28 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $0.61 | -$4.39 |
| Government shutdown by October 1? | Yes | 40 | $0.110 | $0.34 | -$4.06 |
| sell |
| 35.71 |
| $0.140 |
| $5 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.210 | $8.4 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.2 | $0.019 | $0.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.140 | $4.67 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 115.88 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.033 | $7.17 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.065 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 87.87 | $0.062 | $5.45 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 134.54 | $0.195 | $26.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 37.39 | $0.134 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan?Yes | sell | 17.62 | $0.999 | $17.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan?Yes | buy | 17.62 | $0.284 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.008 | $9.12 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 UK Recession in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
 Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.900 | $2.71 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.066 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 249.75 | $0.226 | $56.36 | May 5, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 218.75 | $0.160 | $35 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 68.28 | $0.041 | $2.77 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 134.54 | $0.074 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 219 | $0.160 | $35.04 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 180 | $0.056 | $10.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.011 | $7.7 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 12.34K | $0.004 | $49.63 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.330 | $8.25 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 428.57 | $0.006 | $2.57 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | sell | 45.03 | $0.114 | $5.13 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 20.58 | $0.709 | $14.59 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 20.59 | $0.340 | $7 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.009 | $15 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 53.3 | $0.399 | $21.29 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | buy | 35.87 | $0.223 | $8 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 169.26 | $0.059 | $10 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | buy | 124.27 | $0.161 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.157 | $1.26 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.73 | $0.064 | $0.56 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | sell | 36.72 | $0.197 | $7.23 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.790 | $11.28 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.014 | $25.35 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 11.91 | $0.670 | $7.98 | Jan 29, 2026 |