Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 2.02K | $0.178 | $110.88 | -$249.12 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| No |
| 111.11 |
| $0.450 |
| $92.78 |
| +$42.78 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 70.42 | $0.710 | $53.24 | +$3.24 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 87.54 | $0.571 | $48.59 | -$1.41 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 55.56 | $0.450 | $28.06 | +$3.06 |
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 90.43 | $0.276 | $26.68 | +$1.68 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.120 | $24.17 | +$4.17 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 125 | $0.160 | $16.88 | -$3.13 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 807.85 | $0.167 | $14.14 | -$120.86 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes| buy |
| 166.67 |
| $0.120 |
| $20 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Jul 12, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 55.56 | $0.450 | $25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 90.43 | $0.276 | $25 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 87.54 | $0.571 | $50 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 33.39 | $0.599 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 49.26 | $0.406 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Penguins vs. RangersPenguins | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 515.98 | $0.194 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.59K | $0.014 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 418.96 | $0.239 | $100 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.160 | $100 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.017 | $25 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.160 | $60 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Panick in the White HouseYes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.024 | $25 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 351.66 | $0.009 | $3.16 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 388.89 | $0.090 | $35 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.305 | $50 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Trump out as President by September 30?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 53.19 | $0.470 | $25 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Trump out as President by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 351.67 | $0.028 | $10 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Astronomer Divorce ParlayYes | buy | 112.68 | $0.089 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?No | sell | 67.56 | $0.632 | $42.69 | May 8, 2025 |
US-China trade deal before June?No | sell | 382.27 | $0.652 | $249.15 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 157.15 | $0.064 | $10 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.063 | $10 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?No | buy | 67.57 | $0.370 | $25 | Apr 19, 2025 |
US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 93.02 | $0.430 | $40 | Apr 13, 2025 |
US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | Apr 12, 2025 |
US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 105.82 | $0.378 | $40 | Apr 11, 2025 |
US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Apr 10, 2025 |
US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 79.27 | $0.568 | $45 | Apr 9, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 169.7 | $0.029 | $5 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | sell | 106.57 | $0.794 | $84.62 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 106.58 | $0.235 | $25 | Mar 11, 2025 |
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 273.53 | $0.910 | $248.91 | Nov 19, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.017 | $10 | Nov 11, 2024 |
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 128.6 | $0.389 | $50 | Nov 11, 2024 |
Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.004 | $5.8 | Nov 9, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.030 | $31.53 | Nov 9, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | Nov 9, 2024 |