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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETUp | buy | 2.06 | $0.470 | $0.97 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.300 |
| $15 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 443.3 | $0.027 | $11.97 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 443.3 | $0.023 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 819.66 | $0.032 | $26.23 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 203 | $0.049 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 74.88 | $0.248 | $18.57 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 87.12 | $0.946 | $82.43 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp | sell | 2.99 | $0.991 | $2.96 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp | buy | 2.95 | $0.660 | $1.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.98 | $0.490 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.977 | $7.75 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?No | sell | 9.34 | $0.228 | $2.13 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?No | sell | 15.38 | $0.152 | $2.34 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.450 | $2.04 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 68.18 | $0.040 | $2.73 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | sell | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.183 | $1.29 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.62 | $0.184 | $1.22 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.157 | $1.85 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Oil" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 7.79 | $0.770 | $6 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.151 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.142 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?No | buy | 13.63 | $0.073 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?No | buy | 9.35 | $0.107 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.163 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.143 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.57 | $0.069 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |