Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1.89 | +$0.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.994 | $22.58 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.64 |
| $0.610 |
| $1.53 |
| +$0.53 |
| buy |
| 204.08 |
| $0.049 |
| $10 |
| Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.951 | $0.99 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?Yes | buy | 22.9 | $0.044 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Yes | buy | 41.51 | $0.024 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.290 | $0.94 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.740 | $0.98 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.86 | $0.520 | $0.97 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETUp | buy | 13.56 | $0.500 | $6.78 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | sell | 5.82 | $0.970 | $5.65 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.73 | $0.560 | $0.97 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | buy | 2.11 | $0.460 | $0.97 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 9.23 | $0.650 | $6 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 6.35 | $0.630 | $4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.350 | $4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 9.22 | $0.217 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.102 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |