Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 314.29 | $0.070 | $17.29 | -$4.71 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LAPTOP launch on Ethereum?Yes | buy | 950.28 | $0.002 | $2 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 607.14 |
| $0.028 |
| $8.8 |
| -$8.2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $7.25 | -$2.75 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 60 | $0.050 | $2.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 33.9 | $0.100 | $2.2 | -$1.19 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $1.9 | -$3.1 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $1.71 | -$3.29 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 51.02 | $0.098 | $1.56 | -$3.44 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 294.12 | $0.017 | $1.32 | -$3.68 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $0.89 | -$9.11 |
| buy |
| 33.99 |
| $0.118 |
| $4 |
| 1d ago |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | 1d ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | 1d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.170 | $6 | 1d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 7?No | buy | 94.57 | $0.034 | $3.23 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 7?Yes | buy | 118.93 | $0.028 | $3.33 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 5?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5?Yes | buy | 24.14 | $0.290 | $7 | 5d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 5?No | buy | 94.62 | $0.039 | $3.69 | 5d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?No | sell | 20.9 | $0.690 | $14.43 | 5d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?No | buy | 68.18 | $0.044 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?No | buy | 27.86 | $0.280 | $7.8 | 6d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 607.14 | $0.028 | $17 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?Yes | buy | 333.28 | $0.015 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 1?Yes | buy | 43.17 | $0.180 | $7.77 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 31?No | sell | 23.52 | $0.210 | $4.94 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 31?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?Yes | sell | 46.97 | $0.700 | $32.88 | 13d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?Yes | buy | 80.2 | $0.025 | $2 | 13d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?Yes | buy | 46.98 | $0.149 | $7 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.900 | $26.47 | 22d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 47.06 | $0.170 | $8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 19.14 | $0.522 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 23.5 | $0.999 | $23.48 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 26.5 | $0.510 | $13.52 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.101 | $4.82 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.075 | $3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?No | buy | 126 | $0.040 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 20?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 ODI Series England vs India: England vs IndiaIndia | sell | 45.45 | $0.280 | $12.73 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New ZealandWest Indies | sell | 13.15 | $0.130 | $1.71 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ODI Series England vs India: England vs IndiaIndia | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New ZealandWest Indies | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 20?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?No | buy | 145.9 | $0.038 | $5.55 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| ODI Series England vs India: England vs IndiaIndia | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?No | sell | 18.05 | $0.390 | $7.04 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.451 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |