Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.730 | $4.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 6.02 |
| $0.810 |
| $4.88 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.998 | $5.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 5.73 | $0.999 | $5.72 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 8.98 | $0.910 | $8.17 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.982 | $4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.946 | $4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.973 | $6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.963 | $6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 5.73 | $0.872 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.933 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.971 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 7.31 | $0.957 | $7 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.995 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 9.14 | $0.985 | $9 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 8.99 | $0.890 | $8 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 8.25 | $0.970 | $8 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.976 | $8 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 19.1 | $0.995 | $19 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 14.33 | $0.977 | $14 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 12.44 | $0.965 | $12 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.98 | $0.911 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | buy | 6.47 | $0.927 | $6 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Oct 12, 2025 |
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.991 | $5.03 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.830 | $4 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 22–August 29?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.964 | $4 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?Down | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Aug 18, 2025 |