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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.13 |
| $0.959 |
| $3 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.961 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.660 | $231 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 11.75 | $0.650 | $7.64 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 11.75 | $0.650 | $7.64 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 128.88 | $0.986 | $127.08 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 20.3 | $0.985 | $20 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.54 | $0.877 | $11 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 12 | $0.989 | $11.87 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 332.85 | $0.710 | $236.32 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.996 | $2.5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | buy | 2.55 | $0.979 | $2.5 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Megaquake by October 31?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.960 | $3.2 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.954 | $2.45 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Israel strike on Damascus by September 15?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet between 650 and 699 times September 1–30?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.997 | $2.32 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers by September 15th?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.996 | $1.5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| buy | 2.14 | $0.992 | $2.12 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.986 | $1.8 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Israel strike on Damascus by September 30?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.950 | $2.6 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.960 | $2.52 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 3.38 | $0.987 | $3.34 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $2 billion by September 14?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.998 | $2.65 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Linea FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 2.76 | $0.920 | $2.54 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Justin Bieber holds 2 top 10 spots on Billboard Hot 100 for week of September 13th?No | buy | 3.35 | $0.997 | $3.34 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Apple launch another iPhone on September 9?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.999 | $2.4 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 439 times September 5–12?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 8, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Syria strikes Israel by August 31?No | buy | 7.17 | $0.976 | $7 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.870 | $4.5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.739 | $3.75 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Israel before August?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.974 | $5.32 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before August?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.983 | $6.12 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base before August?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.980 | $5.87 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Megaquake before August?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.943 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.999 | $5.56 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Jul 4, 2025 |