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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | 828.81 | $0.358 | $493.14 | +$196.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?No | buy | 28.81 | $0.590 | $17 | 17d ago |
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| No |
| 200 |
| $0.730 |
| $191 |
| +$45 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.850 | $96.65 | +$11.65 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 99.86 | $0.760 | $95.36 | +$19.47 |
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.680 | $37.5 | -$30.5 |
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 40 | $0.560 | $5.8 | -$16.6 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 40 | $0.120 | $4.6 | -$0.2 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.460 | $3.2 | -$42.8 |
| buy |
| 526.32 |
| $0.190 |
| $100 |
| Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?No | buy | 240 | $0.430 | $103.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?No | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Jun 15, 2026 |
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 250 | $0.640 | $160 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 200 | $0.660 | $132 | May 3, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | May 3, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | May 3, 2026 |
Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 98.98 | $0.830 | $82.15 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.13 | $0.700 | $9.19 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.86 | $0.760 | $12.05 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 285.58 | $0.530 | $151.36 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.350 | $175 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?No | buy | 72.64 | $0.790 | $57.39 | Mar 10, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.785 | $157 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No | buy | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | Jan 2, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.967 | $58.03 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.690 | $172.5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| buy | 100 | $0.742 | $74.2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 399.99 | $0.819 | $327.42 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?Yes | sell | 119.5 | $0.260 | $31.07 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 110 | $0.007 | $0.77 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 32.05 | $0.004 | $0.13 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 360.93 | $0.024 | $8.66 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.310 | $8.99 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.112 | $5.6 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?Yes | buy | 134.96 | $0.110 | $14.85 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.097 | $17.89 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.130 | $13.78 | Dec 2, 2025 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in December 2025?Yes | sell | 9.61 | $0.061 | $0.59 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in December 2025?Yes | sell | 6.01 | $0.016 | $0.1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 185.86 | $0.013 | $2.42 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 8.12 | $0.630 | $5.12 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?150k | sell | 52 | $0.200 | $10.43 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 371.71 | $0.016 | $5.95 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 32.05 | $0.011 | $0.35 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.314 | $3.14 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in November 2025?Yes | sell | 26.8 | $0.162 | $4.33 | Nov 25, 2025 |