Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 134.68 | $0.002 | $0.54 | +$0.27 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.76 | $0.006 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 27.62 |
| $0.008 |
| $0.07 |
| -$0.15 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | Yes | 0.91 | $0.110 | $0.05 | -$0.05 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 43.25 | $0.003 | $0.02 | -$0.12 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes| sell |
| 2 |
| $0.001 |
| $0 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.025 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.78 | $0.004 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.7 | $0.004 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.004 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.015 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.002 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.004 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?Yes | sell | 0.78 | $0.001 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 0.96 | $0.004 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.031 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.040 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Athletics clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.005 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.49 | $0.001 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.022 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.23 | $0.022 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.67 | $0.022 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes | sell | 0.73 | $0.020 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 0.67 | $0.023 | $0.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.050 | $0.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.67 | $0.026 | $0.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.017 | $0.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 0.17 | $0.120 | $0.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 0.93 | $0.014 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.135 | $0.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.003 | $0 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.229 | $0.03 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.7 | $0.004 | $0.03 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.051 | $0.04 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 0.91 | $0.034 | $0.03 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.75 | $0.070 | $0.05 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.92 | $0.017 | $0.05 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Yes | sell | 9.97 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 0.77 | $0.101 | $0.08 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 0.91 | $0.101 | $0.09 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.91 | $0.100 | $0.09 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.91 | $0.100 | $0.09 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.95 | $0.190 | $0.18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 210m and 220m?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 10.44 | $0.030 | $0.31 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.999 | $0.36 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 12.11 | $0.031 | $0.38 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.59 | $0.033 | $0.68 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will James Wood hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes | sell | 10.99 | $0.050 | $0.55 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | sell | 53.15 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Aug 7, 2026 |