Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 1K | $0.476 | $505 | +$29.35 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 419.4 |
| $0.445 |
| $174.05 |
| -$12.72 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 300 | $0.474 | $157.5 | +$15.18 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.410 | $126.25 | +$23.75 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.550 | $111 | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 217.26 | $0.240 | $64.09 | +$11.95 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100.95 | $0.390 | $34.83 | -$4.54 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.400 | $34.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.200 | $24 | -$36 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.330 | $23 | -$10 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.220 | $20 | -$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $6.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.110 | $6 | -$5 |
 Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 13.3 | $0.225 | $3.05 | +$0.06 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 5 | $0.410 | $1.73 | -$0.33 |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 3.3 | $0.098 | $0.43 | +$0.1 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.400 |
| $40 |
| 13d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.550 | $22 | 13d ago |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | 13d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.410 | $102.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.200 | $60 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.470 | $22.09 | May 11, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 217.26 | $0.240 | $52.14 | May 4, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 400 | $0.490 | $196 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.780 | $117 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 150 | $0.580 | $87 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 68.75 | $0.390 | $26.81 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.520 | $78 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.660 | $132 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 211.31 | $0.710 | $150.03 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes | buy | 119.4 | $0.380 | $45.37 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.660 | $165 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 159.08 | $0.001 | $0.16 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 275.35 | $0.001 | $0.28 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 305.52 | $0.540 | $164.98 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.620 | $186 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.410 | $42.23 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 150 | $0.390 | $58.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 175.35 | $0.530 | $92.94 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.590 | $177 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.460 | $1.56 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 159.08 | $0.800 | $127.26 | Jan 19, 2026 |