Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6.94 | +$0.94 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.970 | $3.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.01 |
| $0.995 |
| $3 |
| Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 15.94 | $0.996 | $15.88 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.998 | $4.61 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?No | buy | 4.16 | $0.961 | $4 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.957 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.954 | $6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 7.34 | $0.954 | $7 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.932 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.981 | $5.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 4.1 | $0.972 | $3.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.16 | $0.958 | $3.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.966 | $4.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.983 | $2.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.973 | $4.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 14?Down | sell | 49.99 | $0.300 | $15 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 14?Down | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 14?Down | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 14?Down | sell | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.140 | $28.06 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 124.51 | $0.340 | $42.33 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 61.86 | $0.988 | $61.12 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Aurora Gaming win ESL Pro League Season 23?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.930 | $2.93 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast say "Movie" or "Film" during his next video?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 15.94 | $0.941 | $15 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.985 | $8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will A*Teens win Melodifestivalen 2026?No | buy | 8.18 | $0.978 | $8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be less than 2,000,000?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 61.87 | $0.986 | $61 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No | buy | 16.1 | $0.994 | $16 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 0.0%?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 22.31 | $0.986 | $22 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 26, 2026?No | buy | 13.21 | $0.984 | $13 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in December?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.984 | $1.06 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?Yes | buy | 7.99 | $0.876 | $7 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.840 | $7 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 6.34 | $0.946 | $6 | Dec 29, 2025 |