Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 45.81 | $0.062 | $2.84 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 948.6 |
| $0.003 |
| $2.85 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 948.6 | $0.050 | $47.43 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 50.94 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by February 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 635 | $0.001 | $0.64 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 260 | $0.008 | $2.19 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?Yes | buy | 89.74 | $0.022 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?Yes | buy | 204.94 | $0.039 | $8 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 273.12 | $0.029 | $8 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.8K | $0.004 | $11.2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by November 30?Yes | buy | 124.61 | $0.080 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 225.69 | $0.044 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Yes | buy | 288.08 | $0.386 | $111.29 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Was Kanye hacked?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?Yes | buy | 19.38 | $0.052 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 157.89 | $0.019 | $3 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 50.95 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.088 | $10 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 569.26 | $0.018 | $10 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.128 | $10 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?Yes | buy | 283.89 | $0.035 | $10 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.057 | $12 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.042 | $5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.032 | $3 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.055 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.043 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Khotin before August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?Yes | buy | 118.54 | $0.025 | $3 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?Yes | buy | 110.99 | $0.090 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy talk before August?No | buy | 103.1 | $0.058 | $6 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?No | buy | 44 | $0.250 | $11 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump's inaugural address be 12-14 minutes?Yes | buy | 60.8 | $0.020 | $1.19 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump's inaugural address be 20 minutes or more?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.671 | $1.03K | Dec 10, 2024 |