Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?Yes | buy | 50.02 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 12.13 |
| $0.860 |
| $10.43 |
| May 30, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 34 | $0.310 | $10.54 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?No | buy | 50.54 | $0.980 | $49.5 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.700 | $15.91 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?No | sell | 50.05 | $0.994 | $49.76 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 50.41 | $0.987 | $49.75 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.994 | $49.75 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?No | buy | 11.67 | $0.990 | $11.55 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?Yes | buy | 20.18 | $0.990 | $19.98 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.432 | $12.95 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?Yes | buy | 50.1 | $0.997 | $49.95 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | May 4, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 50.36 | $0.130 | $6.55 | May 2, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 50.36 | $0.983 | $49.5 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.65 | $0.923 | $49.5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 1, 2026?No | buy | 51.45 | $0.968 | $49.8 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be between 80 and 85?No | buy | 100.78 | $0.991 | $99.9 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be between 85 and 90?Yes | buy | 68.46 | $0.999 | $68.39 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?Yes | buy | 50.43 | $0.988 | $49.8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?Yes | buy | 53.8 | $0.920 | $49.5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?No | buy | 50.1 | $0.997 | $49.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?No | buy | 52.16 | $0.958 | $49.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?No | buy | 50.17 | $0.996 | $49.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?No | buy | 50.3 | $0.993 | $49.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.15 | $0.719 | $19.53 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?No | buy | 22.92 | $0.862 | $19.76 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.98 | $0.990 | $20.77 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 20.11 | $0.990 | $19.9 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 80 and 85?No | buy | 100.82 | $0.980 | $98.8 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.98 | $0.990 | $29.68 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.08 | $0.991 | $19.9 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 20.14 | $0.992 | $19.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?No | buy | 37.35 | $0.433 | $16.17 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?Yes | buy | 49.7 | $0.431 | $21.42 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 22.05 | $0.890 | $19.63 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 17, 2026?No | buy | 20.56 | $0.960 | $19.74 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.910 | $19.66 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 14 be between 85 and 90?No | buy | 103.77 | $0.959 | $99.49 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 14 be between 80 and 85?Yes | buy | 110.07 | $0.890 | $97.91 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.98 | $0.990 | $19.78 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.551 | $2.76 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | buy | 95 | $0.985 | $93.58 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.998 | $19.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |