Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 85.75 | $0.987 | $84.64 | 13d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 82.27 |
| $0.950 |
| $78.16 |
| May 30, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 82.26 | $0.950 | $78.15 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 82.26 | $0.839 | $69.01 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 66.15 | $0.960 | $63.5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 66.15 | $0.987 | $65.29 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 65.29 | $0.960 | $62.68 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 81.4 | $0.770 | $62.68 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 81.4 | $0.920 | $74.89 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 74.81 | $0.929 | $69.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 70.21 | $0.991 | $69.58 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 70.21 | $0.989 | $69.44 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 38.98 | $0.979 | $38.16 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No | buy | 67.98 | $0.999 | $67.91 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 12-18?No | buy | 67.91 | $0.999 | $67.84 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 70.59 | $0.961 | $67.84 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 70.59 | $0.924 | $65.23 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 65.23 | $0.990 | $64.58 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 November 24-30?No | buy | 64.58 | $0.998 | $64.45 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 64.45 | $0.990 | $63.81 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?No | buy | 62.27 | $0.997 | $62.08 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?Yes | buy | 62.08 | $0.980 | $60.84 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 67.07 | $0.907 | $60.83 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 87.88 | $0.986 | $86.65 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 42.88 | $0.837 | $35.89 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.790 | $35.55 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?No | buy | 71.94 | $0.991 | $71.29 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 73.58 | $0.969 | $71.3 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 73.58 | $0.986 | $72.55 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 37.86 | $0.920 | $34.83 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 549 | $0.910 | $499.59 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 544.86 | $0.920 | $501.27 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.950 | $38.95 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 82.08 | $0.965 | $79.21 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 104 | $0.962 | $100.05 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.001 | $1.81 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 3.24K | $0.001 | $3.24 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Increase in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Michigan be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump get 70-72m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |