Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 133.34 | $0.847 | $113 | 16d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 40.81 |
| $0.150 |
| $6.12 |
| 16d ago |
 Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?No | buy | 108.37 | $0.790 | $85.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 40.81 | $0.368 | $15 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 197.6 | $0.336 | $66.44 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 191 | $0.009 | $1.72 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 101.57 | $0.670 | $68 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 103.01 | $0.252 | $26 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.115 | $25 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 132.76 | $0.331 | $44 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 191.33 | $0.575 | $110 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)Yes | buy | 149.78 | $0.725 | $108.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 331.71 | $0.422 | $140 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 455.58 | $0.590 | $268.79 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "President Xi" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 191.85 | $0.625 | $120 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 109.82 | $0.546 | $60 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 156.59 | $0.511 | $80 | Jan 25, 2026 |